INHERENCY


The TNC currently has no foundation or schedule for training their future police forces

Nordland ‘11, (Libya to fold militias into police, military September 04, 2011|By Rod Nordland, New York Times)
TRIPOLI, Libya - Libya’s interim government said
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, Mahmoud Jibril, remains outside of Libya.



Plan Text




The United States federal government should fund and establish an office of security cooperation in Libya through which it will offer programs designed to train Libyan police forces.

Rogue Weapons

A capable police force can solve for missing stockpiles of weapons.

Brookes 2011 (Peter Brookes, September 1, 2011, Libya Woes Not Over
http://www.aim.org/guest-column/libya-woes-not-over/)
There’s no shortage of problems to be tackled
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to the shores of Tripoli in the west.

Scenario 1: Conventional Weapons

The proliferation of Gadhafi’s conventional weapons leads to a failed state.

Choksy 2011(Jamsheed K. Choksy professor of Central Eurasian, Indian, Iranian, Islamic, International, and Religious studies and former director of the Middle Eastern Studies Program at Indiana University, For a New Libya, Major Challenges Lie Ahead, 24 Aug 2011, http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/9869/for-a-new-libya-major-challenges-lie-ahead)
The rebels' success would not have been possible
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to prevent yet another failed state from arising.


The threat of a failed state affect the globalized world.

US Joint Forces Command 2010 (The Joint Operating Environment http://www.scribd.com/doc/54145376/22/The-Middle-East-and-Central-Asia)
Weak and failing states will remain a condition
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complex set of difficult scenarios and potential adversaries.


The impact is genocide.

US Joint Forces Command 2010 (The Joint Operating Environment http://www.scribd.com/doc/54145376/22/The-Middle-East-and-Central-Asia)
One of the most troubling and frighteningly common
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differences create the potential for large scale atrocities.

Scenario 2: WMD’s

Without monitoring Libyan WMD materials will end up in the hands of terrorists which leads to US intervention.

Choksy 2011(Jamsheed K. Choksy professor of Central Eurasian, Indian, Iranian, Islamic, International, and Religious studies and former director of the Middle Eastern Studies Program at Indiana University, For a New Libya, Major Challenges Lie Ahead, 24 Aug 2011, http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/9869/for-a-new-libya-major-challenges-lie-ahead)
Parallel to concerns over conventional military hardware is
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the former Warsaw Pact and Soviet Union regions.

US Intervention would have devastating consequences

Kinzer 11 (Stephen [former New York Times reporter and the author of Overthrow: America's Century of Regime Change from Hawaii to Iraq (2006) and Reset Middle East: Old Friends and New Alliances: Saudi Arabia, Israel, Turkey,Iran (2011)] “Why the US must not intervene in Libya” The Guardian, March 9, 2011. http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cifamerica/2011/mar/09/libya-usforeignpolicy
The US is fighting two wars in Muslim
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forces into fighting another long-term insurgency.

the impact is extinction.

Purver, 2000 (ron, strategic analyst at Canadian Security Intelligence Service, “THE THREAT OF CHEMICAL/BIOLOGICAL TERRORISM,”http://www.csis-scrs.gc.ca/ eng/comment/com60_e.html)
One of the principal advantages of CB weapons
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, 1992, pp. 95-119.)







Oil

Instability Threatens Libyan Oil.

News Wires ‘11 (Oil prices soar for a second day as unrest threatens Libyan supply 2/21/2011
http://www.france24.com/en/20110221-libya-turmoil-sends-oil-prices-rise-commodities-opec)
Oil prices soared Tuesday amid deadly violence in
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day to the oil market," he said.

Local stability needed for Oil Production to increase.

Morse and Lee ‘11, (EDWARD L. MORSE heads global commodity research at Citi. ERIC G. LEE is a research analyst at Citi. The Libyan Oil Trap. http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/68245/edward-l-morse-and-eric-g-lee/the-libyan-oil-tap)
When the unrest in Libya began this spring
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was assassinated, supposedly by another rebel faction.

An increase in the price of oil would cause a recession
Davis&Diaz 08- * member of The Vanguard Group and National Bureau of Economic Research **member of the Vanguard group (7/1/08, Financial Planning, “Oil: Cause and Effects”, access via lexis)

The U.S. economy would have
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depreciation of the U.S. dollar.

Extinction

Bearden 2000 (Lt. Col Thomas E. Bearden, PhD, MS, BSCo-inventor - the 2002 Motionless Electromagnetic Generator - a replicated overunity EM generator Listed in Marquis' Who'sWho in America, 2004)
Just prior to the terrible collapse of the
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or some modified version of it, resulting.

US must supply police force to ensure stability necessary to secure oil.

After Gaddafi, a country to build
WEDNESDAY, 07 SEPTEMBER 2011 00:00 ANONYMOUS
http://www.businessdayonline.com/NG/index.php/editorial/26932-after-gaddafi-a-country-to-build
Yet no one should underestimate how difficult it
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first time – for Libyans themselves to shape.

Solvency

An impartial police force needs to be established to maintain peace in Libya.

Choksy 2011(Jamsheed K. Choksy professor
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, as was the case in the Balkans.

The United States plays a key role in establishing a stable police force in Libya.

Dobbins and Wehrey 2011 (JAMES DOBBINS director of the International Security and Defense Policy Center at the RAND Corporation. FREDERIC WEHREY is a senior policy analyst at RAND, With Qaddafi's ouster imminent, the West must plan for post-conflict stabilization and reconstruction. Foreign Affairs, August 23, 2011)
In Libya, as in Bosnia, Kosovo
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probably not participate heavily in such an effort.


Lessons learned from the war in Iraq put the US in a unique position to train the new Libyan police force

Traub ’11 (James [James Traub is a contributing writer for the New York Times Magazine and author of, most recently, The Freedom Agenda. "Terms of Engagement,"] “The Hard Part” Foreign Policy, March 25, 2011. http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/03/25/the_hard_part?page=0,1)
Larry Diamond, a Stanford scholar who served
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civic administration as well as security and policing.